Rhode Island gas prices tomorrow
K 29.0K contracts
1
17
Rhode Island gas prices tomorrow
K 29.0K contracts
1
17
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 4.1100 at 99.5%.
Kalshi
- Above 4.110099.5%
- Above 4.105099.5%
- Above 4.125097.5%
- Above 4.120094.5%
- Above 4.115094%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 29.0K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
17
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 28, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Rhode Island are strictly greater than X on Oct 28, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event is titled "Rhode Island gas prices tomorrow." Its rule states that "If average regular gas prices for Rhode Island are strictly greater than X on Oct 23, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each threshold is a separate contract on whether the AAA average for that day exceeds a given dollar level. Because the word "strictly" applies, a reading exactly equal to a threshold would resolve No.
The rule names a measurement date of October 23, 2026, but the market data lists an end date of October 30, 2026 at 14:00 UTC for each contract [1]. The source excerpt says the event's listed end time was not supplied, so this evidence does not establish when resolution occurs or how the listed end date relates to the AAA reading. Treat the two dates as separate fields.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 03:00 UTC on October 23, 2026, and the source was retrieved at 05:23 UTC the same day [1]. These are point-in-time snapshots of quoted Yes and No prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample includes 12 of 17 markets for this event, so it is partial [1]. The selection ranks markets by Yes price, highest first, so the omitted thresholds are not evidence of lower prices. Among the included thresholds, Yes prices run from 0.99 for the $4.1450, $4.1500 and $4.1550 contracts, to 0.94 at $4.1600, 0.38 at $4.1650, and 0.06 at $4.1700. Prices from $4.1750 to $4.2200 sit between about 0.045 and 0.055 [1]. The listed order is not strictly monotonic (for example, $4.2200 appears before $4.1950), so read each contract on its own terms rather than as a ladder.
The rule's wording determines the comparison. Prices here apply only to this Rhode Island AAA measurement. They should not be compared with contracts on other states, other sources, or different measurement dates, and the prices do not show why any level is priced as it is.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the final AAA reading, the actual resolution, or any trade volume or liquidity data. It also does not show how many traders hold each position. Because only 12 of 17 markets are included, the full field of thresholds is not visible. Differences between contracts reflect different rule thresholds in this snapshot and do not, by themselves, identify an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: Rhode Island gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Rhode Island gas prices tomorrow." The contract asks whether the average regular gas price in Rhode Island, as reported by AAA, will be strictly greater than a stated threshold X on October 23, 2026. If it is, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each threshold in the event is a separate market, so the event as a whole asks several related questions about the same measured average. The contract's resolution depends on the AAA figure for the specified date, not on any general news about fuel prices. The listed provider status is active, but the source does not supply a listed end time for the event [1]. The date October 23, 2026 appears in the contract rules as the measurement date. It is not an announced event or publication date beyond what the rules state [1]. For background on the physical product being measured, Wikipedia describes a filling station as a facility that sells fuel and engine lubricants for motor vehicles. It receives fuel from refineries, stores it in tanks, and distributes it to motorists at a daily varied price [2]. This explains why a posted pump price can change from day to day, though it does not describe what drove any particular price in Rhode Island.
Historical Context
The supplied background is limited. Wikipedia notes that the Global energy crisis from 2021 to 2023 had varying effects in different parts of the world [3]. That source does not connect the crisis to Rhode Island or to the specific prices in this contract, so no further historical link is drawn here.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single number: the AAA average regular gas price in Rhode Island on October 23, 2026, compared against a threshold [1]. Each market in the event tests a different threshold, so the set of markets indicates where the reported average would need to fall to resolve Yes or No [1]. Because the outcome depends on one official average on one date, the rules are narrow and specific. The saved market snapshot was observed on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 UTC, and the source was retrieved later that morning [1]. The included prices show the Yes side at 0.99 for the thresholds of 4.1450, 4.1500 and 4.1550, 0.94 for 4.1600, 0.38 for 4.1650, 0.06 for 4.1700, 0.055 for 4.1750, and about 0.045 to 0.05 for the higher thresholds in the sample [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample is partial. Twelve of 17 markets are included for this event [1]. Price rankings should be read only within this one event. The omitted markets are not known to have lower or higher prices, and the included list should not be treated as the full field.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What exactly determines whether this contract resolves Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if average regular gas prices for Rhode Island are strictly greater than the stated threshold X on October 23, 2026, according to AAA [1]. A value equal to the threshold does not meet the strictly greater test under this wording [1].
Does a high price for a threshold mean the outcome is likely?
A snapshot price is not a verified probability and is not an executable quote [1]. The prices show what the market was trading at during the saved observation, which was October 23, 2026 at 03:00 UTC [1].
Is every market for this event included in the saved data?
No. The saved data includes 12 of 17 markets for this event, so the sample is partial [1]. Rankings in the sample apply only to this Kalshi event and should not be combined with other events or providers.
Why does the price vary across thresholds?
Each threshold is a separate market asking whether the AAA average will exceed a different level [1]. The source does not explain the reasons for the price differences, so no explanation is offered here.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
