Name: January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)
End: 2026-02-11T00:00:00.000Z

PredictPedia

Markets Wiki

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets) | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?	Poly	100%
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?	Poly	0%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?	Poly	0%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?	Poly	0%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?	Poly	0%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?	Poly	0%
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 11, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending January 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending in January 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for January 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/c

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending January 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending in January 2026 according to t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $639.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $574.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2026): Vol $124.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2026): Vol $71.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2026): Vol $98.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2026): Vol $77.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2026): Vol $71.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2026): Vol $75.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 11, 2026): Vol $120.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

14¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/7q7exh" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)

Markets (7)

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget