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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Alabama Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Name: Alabama Governor Democratic Primary Winner
End: 2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$41.83K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Alabama Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Vol

$41.83K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $41.83K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $41.83K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Will Boyd win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Will Boyd win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	Poly	93%
Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	Poly	3%
Will Ja’Mel Brown win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	Poly	2%
Will Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	Poly	1%
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$41.83K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic Party; however, an ove

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Alabama Governor Democratic Primary Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 19, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic Party; however, an ove

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Democratic Pr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $41.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $21.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.92)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ja’Mel Brown win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Will Boyd win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $21.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $8.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 19, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics