Name: Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto - More Markets
End: 2026-04-01T21:10:00.000Z

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Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto - More Markets | PredictPedia

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Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 1.5

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	62%
Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Both Teams to Score	Poly	45%
Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	35%
Spread: Alianza FC (-1.5)	Poly	18%
Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	16%
Spread: AD Pasto (-1.5)	Poly	8%
Spread: Alianza FC (-2.5)	Poly	7%
Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	6%
Spread: AD Pasto (-2.5)	Poly	3%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** More markets for the Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for April 1 at 5:10 PM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for April 1 at 5:10 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Alianza FC" if Alianza FC win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "AD Pasto".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been c"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $23.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.43)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: Alianza FC (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $31
  DATA: [Alianza FC: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [AD Pasto: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: AD Pasto (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $603
  DATA: [AD Pasto: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [Alianza FC: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Spread: Alianza FC (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $374
  DATA: [Alianza FC: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [AD Pasto: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spread: AD Pasto (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $165
  DATA: [AD Pasto: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [Alianza FC: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $167
  DATA: [Over: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $198
  DATA: [Over: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $198
  DATA: [Over: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $608
  DATA: [Over: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $8.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

22¢

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Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto - More Markets

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Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 1.5

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto - More Markets

Markets (9)

Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Both Teams to Score

Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Both Teams to Score

Spread: Alianza FC (-1.5)

Spread: Alianza FC (-1.5)

Spread: AD Pasto (-1.5)

Spread: AD Pasto (-1.5)

Spread: Alianza FC (-2.5)

Spread: Alianza FC (-2.5)

Spread: AD Pasto (-2.5)

Spread: AD Pasto (-2.5)

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Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Over/Under 1.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto - More Markets

Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Both Teams to Score

Alianza FC vs. AD Pasto: Both Teams to Score

Spread: Alianza FC (-1.5)

Spread: Alianza FC (-1.5)

Spread: AD Pasto (-1.5)

Spread: AD Pasto (-1.5)

Spread: Alianza FC (-2.5)

Spread: Alianza FC (-2.5)

Spread: AD Pasto (-2.5)

Spread: AD Pasto (-2.5)

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