Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

Name: How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
End: 2026-12-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.05K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

Vol

$5.05K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.05K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.05K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Poly	56%
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Poly	21%
Will there be 1 US aircraft carrier in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Poly	19%
Will there be 0 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will there be 4 or more US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$5.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. Navy aircraft carriers physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026. For the purposes of this market, “aircraft carriers” refers only to U.S. Navy aircraft carriers designated CVN (e.g., Nimitz-class and Gerald R. Ford-class carriers). Amphibious assault ships (LHA/LHD), other vessels, and ships of any other country will not count. A carrier will count if it is wi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 1, 2026 (51 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. Navy aircraft carriers physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, “aircraft carriers” refers only to U.S. Navy aircraft carriers designated CVN (e.g., Nimitz-class and Gerald R. Ford-class carriers). Amphibious assault ships (LHA/LHD), other vessels, and ships of any other country will not count.

A carrier will count if it is wi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. Navy aircraft carriers physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, “aircraft carriers” refers only to U.S. Navy aircraft carriers de"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $74.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be 0 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $361
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be 1 US aircraft carrier in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will there be 4 or more US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $401
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics