Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Name: Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
End: 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.67K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Vol

$10.67K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.67K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.67K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?	Poly	91%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?	Poly	87%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Poly	70%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?	Poly	42%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T?	Poly	15%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?	Poly	8%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Poly	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$10.67K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share pri

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (447 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share pri

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.97)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $361
  DATA: [Yes: 90.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $461
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $667
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $337
  DATA: [Yes: 6.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance