Name: UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)
End: 2026-04-26T03:59:59.999Z

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UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims) | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $14.37

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.37

100%

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9 markets tracked

Will Sedriques Dumas win by KO or TKO?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Sedriques Dumas win by KO or TKO?	Poly	56%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	55%
Will Jackson McVey win by KO or TKO?	Poly	54%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	52%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	49%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	48%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	45%
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)	Poly	34%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$14.37

Volume

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Sedriques Dumas" if Sedriques Dumas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Jackson McVey" if Jackson McVey is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 26, 2026 (10 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Sedriques Dumas" if Sedriques Dumas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026.

It will resolve to "Jackson McVey" if Jackson McVey is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Sedriques Dumas" if Sedriques Dumas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026.

It will resolve to "Jackson McVey" if Jackson McVey is officially declared the winner.

If the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Sedriques Dumas: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [Jackson McVey: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Sedriques Dumas win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jackson McVey win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

Volume$14.37

Markets9

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POLYMARKET

Will Sedriques Dumas win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Sedriques Dumas win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sedriques Dumas defeats Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqu

POLYMARKET

Will Jackson McVey win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 54.0¢No 46.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Jackson McVey win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jackson McVey defeats Sedriques Dumas at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqu

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by submission?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Sedriques Dumas and Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it w

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Sedriques Dumas and Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 45.0¢No 55.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Sedriques Dumas and Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in

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9d 21h remaining

Apr 26, 2026 3:59 AM

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49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/8AmcJg" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)"></iframe>

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UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Sedriques Dumas win by KO or TKO?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

Markets (9)

Will Sedriques Dumas win by KO or TKO?

Will Sedriques Dumas win by KO or TKO?

Will Jackson McVey win by KO or TKO?

Will Jackson McVey win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

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