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Events
GroupKALSHI

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia from Nov 12 to 15, 2026
Vol

K 7.04 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Below 40°F at 49.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Below 40°F49.5%
  2. Below 38°F49.5%
  3. Below 36°F49.5%
  4. Below 34°F49.5%
  5. Below 32°F24.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 7.04 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Nov 2026 nor'easter If the minimum temperature recorded at Philadelphia, KPHL, for Nov 12 to 15, 2026, inclusive, America/New_York local calendar dates, is less than X Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. The period minimum is the lowest of the official daily minimum temperatures for every local calendar date in the specified period, including both endpoints. Do not substitute hourly samples or calculate a final period minimum from incomplete daily reports. The nor’easter reference is descriptive only; all temperatures in the specified window count regardless of weather-system attribution. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above. This market may close and expire early if its outcome is conclusively determined, in accordance with the contract.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Nov 12, 2026?

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Nov 12, 2026?

K 1.8K contracts
Will the minimum temperature be 49-50° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 47-48° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 9%
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 2%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Lowest temperature in New York City from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

Lowest temperature in New York City from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

K 175.34 contracts
Will New York City fall below 42°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will New York City fall below 40°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will New York City fall below 44°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 54%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Lowest temperature in Boston from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

Lowest temperature in Boston from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

K 0 contracts
Will Boston fall below 36°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Boston fall below 34°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Boston fall below 32°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lowest temperature in Newark from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

Lowest temperature in Newark from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

K 0 contracts
Will Newark fall below 40°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Newark fall below 38°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Newark fall below 36°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Lowest temperature in Providence from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

Lowest temperature in Providence from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

K 0 contracts
Will Providence fall below 38°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Providence fall below 36°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Providence fall below 34°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Austin on Nov 12, 2026?

Lowest temperature in Austin on Nov 12, 2026?

K 43.9K contracts
Will the minimum temperature be 51-52° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 49-50° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 16%
Will the minimum temperature be <49° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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