Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Proposition C pass?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Proposition C pass?	Kalshi	53%
Will Proposition A pass?	Kalshi	52%
Will Proposition D pass?	Kalshi	51%
Will Proposition B pass?	Kalshi	51%
Will Proposition J pass?	Kalshi	51%
Will Proposition I pass?	Kalshi	51%
Will Proposition H pass?	Kalshi	51%
Will Proposition G pass?	Kalshi	51%
Will Proposition F pass?	Kalshi	51%
Will Proposition E pass?	Kalshi	51%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2026 If X passes in San Francisco, then the market resolves to Yes. X measure "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules, whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold, meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority. This market may resolve early once a consensus of design

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X passes in San Francisco, then the market resolves to Yes. X measure "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules, whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold, meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority. This market may resolve early once a consensus of design

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Proposition J passes in San Francisco, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A measure "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple major"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Proposition J pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Proposition I pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Proposition H pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Proposition G pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Proposition F pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Proposition E pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Proposition D pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Proposition C pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Proposition B pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Proposition A pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?

Volume$0.00

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Proposition C pass?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Proposition C pass?

If Proposition C passes in San Francisco, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A measure "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple major

KALSHI

Will Proposition A pass?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Proposition A pass?

If Proposition A passes in San Francisco, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A measure "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple major

KALSHI

Will Proposition D pass?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Proposition D pass?

If Proposition D passes in San Francisco, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A measure "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple major

KALSHI

Will Proposition B pass?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Proposition B pass?

If Proposition B passes in San Francisco, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A measure "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple major

KALSHI

Will Proposition J pass?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Proposition J pass?

If Proposition J passes in San Francisco, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A measure "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple major

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

51¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/8Hstj3" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Proposition C pass?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?

Markets (10)

Will Proposition C pass?

Will Proposition C pass?

Will Proposition A pass?

Will Proposition A pass?

Will Proposition D pass?

Will Proposition D pass?

Will Proposition B pass?

Will Proposition B pass?

Will Proposition J pass?

Will Proposition J pass?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Proposition C pass?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?

Will Proposition C pass?

Will Proposition C pass?

Will Proposition A pass?

Will Proposition A pass?

Will Proposition D pass?

Will Proposition D pass?

Will Proposition B pass?

Will Proposition B pass?

Will Proposition J pass?

Will Proposition J pass?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget