Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Name: Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
End: 2026-12-02T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$31.55K

Events

Markets

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Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Vol

$31.55K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $31.55K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $31.55K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?	Poly	34%
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Poly	19%
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Poly	17%
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	Poly	8%
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?	Poly	4%
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?	Poly	3%
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be at least 1.2%?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

34%

Top Probability

$31.55K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-na

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 2, 2026 (51 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.

The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-na

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 20"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $31.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.3K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 9.48)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $466
  DATA: [Yes: 7.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $14.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $342
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be at least 1.2%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $323
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy