GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Costco raises hot dog combo price?

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Costco raises hot dog combo price?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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4 markets tracked

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?	Kalshi	39%
Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2029?	Kalshi	29%
Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2028?	Kalshi	12%
Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

39%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

Raises price If Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Costco raises hot dog combo price?
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Raises price

If Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Costco raises hot dog combo price?

Volume$0.00

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.0¢No 61.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?

If Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

KALSHI

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2029?

If Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

KALSHI

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2028?

If Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

KALSHI

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?

If Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/8NcgLL" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Costco raises hot dog combo price?"></iframe>

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Costco raises hot dog combo price?

Costco raises hot dog combo price?

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Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?

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Events (1)

Costco raises hot dog combo price?

Markets (1)

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2029?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2029?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2028?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2028?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?

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Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Costco raises hot dog combo price?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2030?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2029?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2029?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2028?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2028?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?

Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?

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