Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

Total Volume

$5.04K

Events

Markets

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How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

Vol

$5.04K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.04K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.04K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	82%
Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	74%
Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	51%
Will there be at least 6 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	29%
Will there be at least 7 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	24%
Will there be at least 8 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will there be at least 9 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will there be at least 10 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will there be at least 15 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$5.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

10/11-10/17 If Donald Trump has taken at least X presidential actions from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026, as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026. The week runs from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026. Payout criteria The actions may

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 10/11-10/17

If Donald Trump has taken at least X presidential actions from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026, as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026. The week runs from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026. Payout criteria The actions may

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Donald Trump has taken at least 9 presidential actions from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved

The market solely resolves to the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be at least 9 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $259
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be at least 8 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $244
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be at least 7 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $401
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be at least 6 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $627
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $29
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will there be at least 15 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $428
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will there be at least 10 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

Volume$5.04K

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

If Donald Trump has taken at least 1 presidential actions from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the

KALSHI

Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

If Donald Trump has taken at least 2 presidential actions from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the

KALSHI

Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

If Donald Trump has taken at least 3 presidential actions from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the

KALSHI

Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

If Donald Trump has taken at least 4 presidential actions from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the

KALSHI

Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

If Donald Trump has taken at least 5 presidential actions from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the

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43¢

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How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

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Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

Markets (11)

Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

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Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?

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