Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner

Name: ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner
End: 2026-10-19T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.13K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner

Vol

$14.13K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $14.13K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.13K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Shanghai, China?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	43%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	19%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	9%
Will Alex de Minaur win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	9%
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	5%
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	3%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	3%
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	3%
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	3%
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	3%
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	3%
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	2%
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	2%
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	2%
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	2%
Will Arthur Gea win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	2%
Will Botic Van de Zandschulp win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	2%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	2%
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	2%
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	2%
Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	2%
Will Pablo Carreno Busta win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	1%
Will Dalibor Svrcina win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	1%
Will Zizou Bergs win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$14.13K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other".

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $36.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.28)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $634
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alex de Minaur win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Arthur Gea win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $796
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Botic Van de Zandschulp win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Pablo Carreno Busta win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $109
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $295
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Dalibor Svrcina win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $114
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Zizou Bergs win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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