Name: UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
End: 2026-02-01T04:59:59.999Z

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UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	83%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	58%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	56%
Will Sulangrangbo win by KO or TKO?	Poly	43%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	41%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	40%
UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Poly	28%
Will Lawrence Lui win by KO or TKO?	Poly	22%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	18%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Lui" if Lawrence Lui is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sulangrangbo at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026.

It will resolve to "Sulangrangbo" if Sulangrangbo is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official info

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Lawrence Lui and Sulangrangbo at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Lawrence Lui and Sulangrangbo at UFC 325: Volk"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $130.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $98.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.32)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Over: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sulangrangbo win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lawrence Lui win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $127.1K
  DATA: [Lui: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [Sulangrangbo: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $108
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Over: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

43¢

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UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)

UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)

Markets (9)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Sulangrangbo win by KO or TKO?

Will Sulangrangbo win by KO or TKO?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will Lawrence Lui win by KO or TKO?

Will Lawrence Lui win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

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Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Sulangrangbo win by KO or TKO?

Will Sulangrangbo win by KO or TKO?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will Lawrence Lui win by KO or TKO?

Will Lawrence Lui win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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