How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
K 12.7K contracts
1
11
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
K 12.7K contracts
1
11
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is At least 9 million at 98.5%.
Kalshi
- At least 9 million98.5%
- At least 6 million98.5%
- At least 12 million90%
- At least 15 million50.5%
- At least 25 million37%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 12.7K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
The chart published on Oct 27, 2026 If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least X million views on the chart published on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views”, not hours viewed, of the top Movie ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Movies | English" chart. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Oct 27, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T15:00:06.111Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Kalshi event asking how many views the #1 Movie on Netflix will have on a weekly chart. The rules specify that the market "specifically encompasses the number of 'Views', not hours viewed, of the top Movie ranked on Netflix's weekly charts for Global 'Movies | English' chart" [1]. Each threshold is a separate contract. A "Yes" outcome means the chart shows at least that many million views for the Oct 20, 2026 publication [1].
The rules also state that "The chart published on Oct 20, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday" [1]. A reader comparing contracts should treat the threshold and the chart week as the defining terms, not the event title alone.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-17T15:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-17T15:30:21Z [1]. These are historical snapshots, not current quotes, and they are not executable prices.
All 11 saved markets are included, and the sample is not partial. The saved "Yes" prices fall as the threshold rises. Thresholds from 6 to 21 million show a Yes price of 0.995. The 25 million threshold shows 0.98, 30 million shows 0.68, 35 million shows 0.095, 40 million shows 0.015, and 50 million shows 0.005. The No prices are the complements of these figures in the saved data.
Because each threshold is a distinct contract, the spread across them describes the saved price ladder for this event only. Prices here should not be compared with other platforms' contracts, which may use different chart definitions, close times, or thresholds.
What remains uncertain
The rules say the market "will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before" the Oct 20 chart publication [1]. The saved market records list an end date of 2026-10-26T14:00:00.000Z [1]. The source excerpt also states "Listed end time: not supplied." [1] These records do not agree, and the evidence does not explain the difference. Readers should check the provider's current rules before relying on any timing.
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, how many traders hold each view, or how liquid these contracts are. Volume is not included in the displayed prices and does not indicate liquidity.
References
- Kalshi: How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T15:00:06.111Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event asking how many views the number one movie on Netflix will have on a weekly chart. The event is titled "How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" and is listed under the Entertainment category [1]. The contract tracks the top movie on Netflix's weekly Global "Movies | English" chart, and it counts "Views," not hours viewed [1]. The contract's reference chart is the one published on October 20, 2026. Per the rule text, the chart covers the week ending the previous Sunday, and Netflix updates its charts on Tuesday [1]. Each market in the event asks whether the top movie will reach at least a stated number of million views on that chart, with thresholds ranging from 6 million to 50 million in the saved sample [1]. Each market resolves to Yes if the threshold is met on that chart [1]. The rule text says the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart is published, and it may close early if the event occurs [1]. The saved provider data separately lists an end date of October 26, 2026, which does not match the rule text's closing description. Readers should treat the rule text on the provider's page as the governing description of when trading closes. The Kalshi rules state that the market has not been endorsed by Netflix and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1]. Netflix is an American subscription video on-demand service that distributes original and acquired films and television shows [3].
Historical Context
The Wikipedia entry for Netflix, Inc. describes the company as founded on August 29, 1997, in Scotts Valley, California [2]. It says the company owns and operates an over-the-top subscription video on-demand service that shows acquired and original programming along with licensed third-party content [2]. The same entry notes that Netflix is the first streaming media company to be a member of the Motion Picture Association [2]. These are historical background facts from the retrieved encyclopedia text and do not describe the current state of the contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a viewing metric on a single weekly chart, not overall popularity or revenue. Because the rule specifies Views rather than hours viewed, the threshold markets are tied to that specific count [1]. The chart is a Netflix product, and the contract's reference depends on how that chart is published and dated [1]. Readers should note that the contract resolves based on the chart published on the stated date, so the timing rules matter as much as the threshold [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract measure?
It measures the number of Views for the top Movie on Netflix's weekly Global "Movies | English" chart, as published on October 20, 2026. Hours viewed do not count under the rule [1].
When does the market close?
The rule text says the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the October 20, 2026 chart is published, and it may close early if the event occurs [1]. The saved provider data lists a different end date, so the provider's current rule text should be checked [1].
Is Netflix involved in this market?
The rules state that the market has not been endorsed by Netflix and that any references to Netflix are descriptive only [1].
What does a market price represent here?
The saved prices are snapshots taken at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved sample includes all 11 markets listed for this event, which covers thresholds from 6 million to 50 million views [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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