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Events
GroupKALSHI

Top US Netflix Movie this week?

Top US Netflix Movie this week?
Vol

K 446.61 contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

10

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Animals at 50%.

Kalshi

  1. Animals50%
  2. Sacrifice26%
  3. Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love21%
  4. UNABOMBER0.5%
  5. Twilight0.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 446.61 contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

10

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

The chart published on Oct 27, 2026 If X is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Oct 27, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The event is titled "Top US Netflix Movie this week?" The saved Kalshi rules state that "If X is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The rules also say "The chart published on Oct 20, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday" [1]. The individual market titles instead refer to "Top US Netflix Movie on Oct 19, 2026" [1]. Readers comparing contracts should rely on the rule text rather than the title alone.

Close timing is described differently in two places. The rules say "the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before" because the charts are updated on Tuesday [1]. The saved market records show an endDate of 2026-10-26T14:00:00.000Z, but the provider status line reads "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. This snapshot does not settle which timing applies.

Reading the snapshot

The data was observed at 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z and retrieved at 2026-10-20T08:11:20.305Z [1]. These times describe that moment only. They are not a live quote.

The saved sample contains ten Kalshi markets under one event, and the coverage record lists 10 of 10 markets included with no partial sample flag [1]. In that set, the Animals contract shows Yes at 0.995 and No at 0.005 [1]. Every other listed title shows Yes at 0.005 and No at 0.995 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. At observation time, Animals was the only title in this sample priced near certainty under these rules.

The evidence does not include volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many traders hold each view.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not report the actual chart result, so no contract has resolved in the supplied material. The sample warning states that "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Any title not in the saved set cannot be priced from this data. The evidence gives no explanation for the observed prices. It also contains no comparable contracts from other platforms, so these prices should not be compared with any other venue.

References

  1. Kalshi: Top US Netflix Movie this week?. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Overview

This is a Kalshi event titled "Top US Netflix Movie this week?" under the Entertainment category. Its contract rules say a market resolves to Yes if the movie X is ranked number one on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on October 20, 2026 [1]. The rules also state that the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesdays, and that the chart published on October 20, 2026 covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. Because the market closes at 11:59 PM ET on the day before the chart update, the rules place the market close on the Monday before publication [1]. A date in these rules describes how the contract is structured. It is not an announced event or a confirmed publication schedule beyond what the rules state. The saved event includes ten individual markets, each asking whether a specific title will be the top US Netflix movie on the chart referenced by the event [1]. The titles in the saved sample are Animals, Doing Life, Ice Age, UNABOMBER, Ice Age: Continental Drift, The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part, Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs, Ice Age: Collision Course, The Breadwinner, and Ice Age: The Meltdown [1]. The market titles refer to October 19, 2026, while the event rules refer to the chart published October 20, 2026 [1]. Readers should rely on the rule text for resolution. The provider lists the event as active [1]. The saved observation for this event was taken at 03:00 UTC on October 20, 2026, and the source was retrieved at 08:11 UTC the same day [1]. Prices in the saved sample reflect that earlier observation. Among the ten saved markets, Animals has the highest Yes price, while the remaining nine share a much lower Yes price [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The Kalshi rules state that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Netflix, and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1].

Historical Context

Netflix, Inc. was founded on August 29, 1997, and is currently based in Los Gatos, California, with production offices and stages in Los Angeles and Albuquerque [2]. The company operates an over-the-top subscription video on-demand service that shows acquired and original programming, along with third-party content licensed from other producers and distributors [2]. The source also states that Netflix is the first streaming media company to be a member of the Motion Picture Association [2]. These sources describe the company's background and do not establish any current chart standings.

Why It Matters

The contract measures a single ranking outcome: whether a particular title holds the number one position on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart for the publication referenced in the rules [1]. Because the Netflix service distributes original and acquired films and television shows across genres [3], the chart reflects which movie is most prominent on that service in the period the rules define [1]. Anyone reading the market should focus on the chart publication named in the rules and the stated closing time, rather than on the market title alone [1]. The Netflix Top 10 chart itself is the reference point for resolution, and the rules name that chart as the source for the outcome [1].

Snapshot context

The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-20 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What must happen for a Yes outcome to resolve?

The market resolves to Yes if the named movie is ranked number one on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on October 20, 2026 [1].

When does trading close for this market?

The rules state that the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday, so the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the update [1].

Which week does the chart cover?

According to the rules, the chart published on October 20, 2026 covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1].

Is this market endorsed by Netflix?

No. The rules state that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Netflix, and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 20, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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