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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Ethereum above ___ on May 1, 6PM ET?

Name: Ethereum above ___ on May 1, 6PM ET?
End: 2026-05-01T22:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on May 1, 6PM ET?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Ethereum above 2,220 on May 1, 6PM ET?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Ethereum above 2,220 on May 1, 6PM ET?	Poly	78%
Ethereum above 2,235 on May 1, 6PM ET?	Poly	55%
Ethereum above 2,250 on May 1, 6PM ET?	Poly	55%
Ethereum above 2,280 on May 1, 6PM ET?	Poly	55%
Ethereum above 2,265 on May 1, 6PM ET?	Poly	54%
Ethereum above 2,310 on May 1, 6PM ET?	Poly	46%
Ethereum above 2,325 on May 1, 6PM ET?	Poly	46%
Ethereum above 2,340 on May 1, 6PM ET?	Poly	45%
Ethereum above 2,355 on May 1, 6PM ET?	Poly	45%
Ethereum above 2,370 on May 1, 6PM ET?	Poly	45%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ethereum above ___ on May 1, 6PM ET?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $280
* **Total Liquidity:** $212
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.32)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Ethereum above 2,220 on May 1, 6PM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Ethereum above 2,235 on May 1, 6PM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Ethereum above 2,250 on May 1, 6PM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Ethereum above 2,265 on May 1, 6PM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Ethereum above 2,280 on May 1, 6PM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Ethereum above 2,310 on May 1, 6PM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Ethereum above 2,325 on May 1, 6PM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Ethereum above 2,340 on May 1, 6PM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Ethereum above 2,355 on May 1, 6PM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Ethereum above 2,370 on May 1, 6PM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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