Name: United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Dragons
End: 2026-01-30T19:45:00.000Z

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United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Dragons | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Munster win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Munster win?	Poly	49%
Will Dragons win?	Poly	49%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	47%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Dragons
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 30, 2026 (15 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Munster and Dragons, scheduled for January 23 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 23 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $191
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Munster win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Dragons win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

14d 7h remaining

Jan 30, 2026 7:45 PM

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Average Yes Price

48¢

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United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Dragons

United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Dragons

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Will Munster win?

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Events (1)

United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Dragons

Markets (3)

Will Munster win?

Will Munster win?

Will Dragons win?

Will Dragons win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Munster win?

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United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Dragons

Will Munster win?

Will Munster win?

Will Dragons win?

Will Dragons win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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