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GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsWorld

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Name: Next Prime Minister of Hungary
End: 2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$94.71M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Vol

$94.71M

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $94.71M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.1%

Arbitrage

of 2 cross-platform

Calculate

Volume DistributionTotal: $94.71M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(2)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	100%	100%	0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	0%	0%	0%

Single-Platform Markets(4)

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$94.71M

Volume

Markets

33.2%

Price Gap

About This Event

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, July 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** For the election expected to happen by April 2026

If X becomes Prime Minister of Hungary as a result of government formation following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election and meets all constitutional requirements before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Prime Minister.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Viktor Orbán becomes Prime Minister of Hungary as a result of government formation following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election and meets all constitutional requirements before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, **these rules w"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $94.71M
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.35M
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 28.24)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (6 mkts) vs Kalshi (2 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Viktor Orbán become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 12, 2026): Vol $25.27M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Péter Magyar become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 12, 2026): Vol $23.48M
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 12, 2026): Vol $6.18M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 12, 2026): Vol $13.86M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 12, 2026): Vol $16.63M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 12, 2026): Vol $9.29M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Rules & Resolution

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Timing

Similar

KALSHIElections

Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election?

For the election expected to happen by April 2026 If X becomes Prime Minister of Hungary as a result of government formation following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election and meets all constitutional requirements before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Prime Minister.

Volume$0.00

Markets2

POLYMARKETWorld

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Volume$94.71M

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Péter Magyar become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average99.6%

Polymarket

99.6%

Kalshi+0.0%

99.6%

Difference:0.0%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢

KKalshi

Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Péter Magyar become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

If Péter Magyar becomes Prime Minister of Hungary as a result of government formation following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election and meets all constitutional requirements before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, these rules wil

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally e

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Viktor Orbán become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average0.2%

Polymarket+0.1%

0.3%

Kalshi

0.2%

Difference:0.1%

Polymarket higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢

KKalshi

Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Viktor Orbán become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

If Viktor Orbán becomes Prime Minister of Hungary as a result of government formation following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election and meets all constitutional requirements before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, **these rules w

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

POLYMARKET

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.1¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

POLYMARKET

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.1¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

POLYMARKET

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.1¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

50¢

Polymarket

50¢

Kalshi

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/8k02BW" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Next Prime Minister of Hungary"></iframe>

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Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

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Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Rules & Resolution

Events (2)

Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election?

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Markets (2)

Will Péter Magyar become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Will Péter Magyar become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Will Viktor Orbán become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Will Viktor Orbán become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Rules & Resolution

Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election?

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Will Péter Magyar become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Will Péter Magyar become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Will Viktor Orbán become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Will Viktor Orbán become Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Platform Breakdown

Event Comparison

Share

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