Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 13)

Name: What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 13)
End: 2026-10-13T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.54K

Events

Markets

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What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 13)

Vol

$7.54K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

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Polymarket

markets · $7.54K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.54K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Poly	98%
Will "East of Eden" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Poly	1%
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Poly	1%
Will "The Great British Baking Show: Collection 14" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Poly	0%
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Poly	0%
Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$7.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 13)
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $19.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.39)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $396
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $96
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $187
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "The Great British Baking Show: Collection 14" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $282
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "East of Eden" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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