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GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Vol

PM $54.2K · K 4.3K contracts

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Events

2

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Markets

41

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Andrew Garfield at 31.5%, and on Kalshi it is Stephen Root at 83%.

Polymarket

  1. Andrew Garfield31.5%
  2. Paul Giamatti25%
  3. Guitarricadelafuente10.5%
  4. Robert Pattinson6.9%
  5. Jesse Plemons4%

Kalshi

  1. Stephen Root83%
  2. Paul W. Downs73%
  3. Harrison Ford70%
  4. Nick Offerman60%
  5. Ebon Moss-Bachrach46%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $54.2K · K 4.3K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

41

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

PM $37.9K
Will Paul Giamatti be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 92%
Will Andrew Garfield be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 74.5%
Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 73.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor

K 194.0K contracts
Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?Yes 29%
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?Yes 23.5%
Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?Yes 13.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor

K 139.0K contracts
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Paul Giamatti)Yes 89%
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Sam Rockwell)Yes 77.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Andrew Garfield)Yes 76.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

PM $382.1K · K 53.6K contracts

Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 44.7%Rules differK Yes 95%

Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 87.5%Rules differK Yes 95%

Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 91.9%Rules differK Yes 90%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

34 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

PM $39.0K
Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 88%
Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 81.5%
Will Penélope Cruz be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 73.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner

PM $40.1K
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 53.5%
Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 31.1%
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 8.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.