GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICommodities

WTI price at year end?

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WTI price at year end?

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

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11 markets tracked

Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	53%
Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	45%
Will the price of WTI oil be above 85 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	38%
Will the price of WTI oil be above 90 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	23%
Will the price of WTI oil be above 110 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	17%
Will the price of WTI oil be above 100 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	17%
Will the price of WTI oil be above 105 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	15%
Will the price of WTI oil be above 120 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	14%
Will the price of WTI oil be above 115 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	14%
Will the price of WTI oil be above 95 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	12%
Will the price of WTI oil be above 125 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

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$0.00

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About This Event

On December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Settlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** WTI price at year end?
**Category:** Commodities | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST

If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Settlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 95 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026. "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the price of WTI oil be above 95 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the price of WTI oil be above 90 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the price of WTI oil be above 85 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the price of WTI oil be above 125 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the price of WTI oil be above 120 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the price of WTI oil be above 115 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the price of WTI oil be above 110 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the price of WTI oil be above 105 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the price of WTI oil be above 100 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICommodities

WTI price at year end?

Volume$0.00

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 75 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.

KALSHI

Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.0¢No 55.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 80 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.

KALSHI

Will the price of WTI oil be above 85 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the price of WTI oil be above 85 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 85 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.

KALSHI

Will the price of WTI oil be above 90 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the price of WTI oil be above 90 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 90 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.

KALSHI

Will the price of WTI oil be above 110 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the price of WTI oil be above 110 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 110 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the February 2027 contract released on December 31, 2026.

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Average Yes Price

23¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/8tTeNz" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="WTI price at year end?"></iframe>

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WTI price at year end?

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Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

WTI price at year end?

Markets (11)

Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 85 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 85 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 90 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 90 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 110 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 110 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

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Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

WTI price at year end?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 85 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 85 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 90 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 90 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 110 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

Will the price of WTI oil be above 110 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?

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