Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?

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$965.67

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What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?

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$965.67

Events

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $965.67

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $965.67

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)	Kalshi	91%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)	Kalshi	87%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Boeing)	Kalshi	87%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Atmos)	Kalshi	86%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oneworld)	Kalshi	82%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Amazon)	Kalshi	82%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Starlink)	Kalshi	82%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)	Kalshi	60%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oil / Gas / Gasoline)	Kalshi	50%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Iceland)	Kalshi	17%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)	Kalshi	14%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)	Kalshi	14%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (New Zealand)	Kalshi	12%
What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Iran / Middle East)	Kalshi	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$965.67

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

On Oct 23, 2026 If X is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 23, 2026

If X is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tariff is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
Video of the Alaska Air Grou"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $966
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Starlink)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $29
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oneworld)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oil / Gas / Gasoline)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $108
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (New Zealand)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Iran / Middle East)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Iceland)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Boeing)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $228
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Atmos)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $352
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Amazon)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?

Volume$965.67

Markets14

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KALSHI

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)

If Cargo is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Alaska Air Group

KALSHI

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢

KALSHISports

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)

If Headwind is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Alaska Air Gr

KALSHI

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Boeing)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Boeing)

If Boeing is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Alaska Air Grou

KALSHI

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Atmos)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Atmos)

If Atmos is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Alaska Air Group

KALSHI

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oneworld)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oneworld)

If Oneworld is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Alaska Air Gr

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55¢

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What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?

What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?

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What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)

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Events (1)

What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?

Markets (14)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Boeing)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Boeing)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Atmos)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Atmos)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oneworld)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oneworld)

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What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)

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What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cargo)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Boeing)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Boeing)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Atmos)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Atmos)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oneworld)

What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oneworld)

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