Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?

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$1.30K

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How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?

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$1.30K

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Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?	Kalshi	92%
Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?	Kalshi	88%
Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?	Kalshi	78%
Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.1 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?	Kalshi	71%
Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?	Kalshi	49%
Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.7 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?	Kalshi	27%
Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?	Kalshi	10%

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92%

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$1.30K

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About This Event

As of Nov 4, 2026 If the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least X million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the headline "In-person early votes" figure at the top of the Florida page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. If the page is unavailable at that time, the inperson_all value for Florida in the UF Electi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** As of Nov 4, 2026

If the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least X million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the headline "In-person early votes" figure at the top of the Florida page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. If the page is unavailable at that time, the inperson_all value for Florida in the UF Electi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the headline "In-person early votes" figure at the top of the Florida "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.7 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.1 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $900
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
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### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
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*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
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KALSHIElections

How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?

Volume$1.30K

Markets7

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KALSHI

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

If the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the headline "In-person early votes" figure at the top of the Florid

KALSHI

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

If the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 2.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the headline "In-person early votes" figure at the top of the Florid

KALSHI

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

If the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 2.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the headline "In-person early votes" figure at the top of the Florid

KALSHI

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.1 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.1 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

If the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 3.1 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the headline "In-person early votes" figure at the top of the Florid

KALSHI

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

If the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 3.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the headline "In-person early votes" figure at the top of the Florid

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How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?

How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?

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Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

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Events (1)

How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?

Markets (7)

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.1 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.1 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

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Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.1 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.1 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 3.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

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