Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Gima vs Vives Marcos

Total Volume

$215.83

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Markets

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Gima vs Vives Marcos

Vol

$215.83

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $215.83

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $215.83

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Pedro Vives Marcos wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Pedro Vives Marcos wins	Kalshi	77%
Sebastian Gima wins	Kalshi	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$215.83

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gima vs Vives Marcos (Oct 12) If X wins the Gima vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Catania Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Gima vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Catania Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other ca

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gima vs Vives Marcos
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Gima vs Vives Marcos (Oct 12)

If X wins the Gima vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Catania Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Gima vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Catania Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other ca

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Pedro Vives Marcos wins the Gima vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Catania Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Gima vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $216
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Pedro Vives Marcos wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Sebastian Gima wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $215
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Gima vs Vives Marcos

Volume$215.83

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Pedro Vives Marcos wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHISports

Pedro Vives Marcos wins

If Pedro Vives Marcos wins the Gima vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Catania Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Gima vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in th

KALSHI

Sebastian Gima wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHISports

Sebastian Gima wins

If Sebastian Gima wins the Gima vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Catania Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Gima vs Vives Marcos professional tennis match in the 20

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/8yswGZ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Gima vs Vives Marcos"></iframe>

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Pedro Vives Marcos wins

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Events (1)

Gima vs Vives Marcos

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Pedro Vives Marcos wins

Pedro Vives Marcos wins

Sebastian Gima wins

Sebastian Gima wins

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Pedro Vives Marcos wins

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Pedro Vives Marcos wins

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Sebastian Gima wins

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