Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

College Football: Oregon Regular Season Wins

Total Volume

$14.87K

Events

Markets

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College Football: Oregon Regular Season Wins

Vol

$14.87K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $14.87K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.87K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?	Kalshi	94%
Will Oregon win at least 6 games this season?	Kalshi	90%
Will Oregon win at least 7 games this season?	Kalshi	83%
Will Oregon win at least 8 games this season?	Kalshi	68%
Will Oregon win at least 9 games this season?	Kalshi	39%
Will Oregon win at least 10 games this season?	Kalshi	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$14.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oregon (2026) If the Oregon college football team has at least X wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Only official regular season games count towards the team's win total. Ties do not count as wins. Bowl games, conference championship games, and college football playoff games do not count. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** College Football: Oregon Regular Season Wins
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oregon (2026)

If the Oregon college football team has at least X wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Only official regular season games count towards the team's win total. Ties do not count as wins. Bowl games, conference championship games, and college football playoff games do not count. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Oregon college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only official regular season games count towards the team's win total. Ties do not count as wins. Bowl games, conference championship games, and college football play"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Oregon win at least 9 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 20, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Oregon win at least 8 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 20, 2026): Vol $422
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Oregon win at least 7 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 20, 2026): Vol $428
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Oregon win at least 6 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 20, 2026): Vol $829
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 20, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Oregon win at least 10 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 20, 2026): Vol $8.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

College Football: Oregon Regular Season Wins

Volume$14.87K

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?

If the Oregon college football team has at least 5 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only official regular season games count towards the team's win total. Ties do not count as wins. Bowl games, conference championship games, and college football play

KALSHI

Will Oregon win at least 6 games this season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Oregon win at least 6 games this season?

If the Oregon college football team has at least 6 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only official regular season games count towards the team's win total. Ties do not count as wins. Bowl games, conference championship games, and college football play

KALSHI

Will Oregon win at least 7 games this season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Oregon win at least 7 games this season?

If the Oregon college football team has at least 7 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only official regular season games count towards the team's win total. Ties do not count as wins. Bowl games, conference championship games, and college football play

KALSHI

Will Oregon win at least 8 games this season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.0¢No 32.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Oregon win at least 8 games this season?

If the Oregon college football team has at least 8 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only official regular season games count towards the team's win total. Ties do not count as wins. Bowl games, conference championship games, and college football play

KALSHI

Will Oregon win at least 9 games this season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Oregon win at least 9 games this season?

If the Oregon college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only official regular season games count towards the team's win total. Ties do not count as wins. Bowl games, conference championship games, and college football play

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Average Yes Price

65¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/90tNBs" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="College Football: Oregon Regular Season Wins"></iframe>

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College Football: Oregon Regular Season Wins

College Football: Oregon Regular Season Wins

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Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

College Football: Oregon Regular Season Wins

Markets (6)

Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 6 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 6 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 7 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 7 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 8 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 8 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 9 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 9 games this season?

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Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

College Football: Oregon Regular Season Wins

Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 5 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 6 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 6 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 7 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 7 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 8 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 8 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 9 games this season?

Will Oregon win at least 9 games this season?

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