Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Name: Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha
End: 2026-10-19T10:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$125.08

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Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Vol

$125.08

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $125.08

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $125.08

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	69%
Maia: Completed Match: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha	Poly	52%
Set Handicap: Henrique Rocha (-1.5) vs Sumit Nagal (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Game Spread: Henrique Rocha (-4.5) vs Sumit Nagal (+4.5)	Poly	49%
Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	48%
Nagal vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	48%
Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	47%
Nagal vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	41%
Set 2 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha	Poly	37%
Nagal vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	37%
Sumit Nagal vs. Henrique Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	36%
Set 1 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha	Poly	32%
Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha	Poly	26%
Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	22%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

69%

Top Probability

$125.08

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Sumit Nagal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start),

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Henrique Rocha.

This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Sumit Nagal.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Henrique Rocha.

This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Roch"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $125
* **Total Liquidity:** $67.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $125
  DATA: [Sumit Nagal: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [Henrique Rocha: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Maia: Completed Match: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Sumit Nagal: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [Henrique Rocha: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Sumit Nagal: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [Henrique Rocha: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Sumit Nagal vs. Henrique Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Nagal vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Nagal vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Nagal vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Henrique Rocha (-1.5) vs Sumit Nagal (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Henrique Rocha: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Sumit Nagal: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Henrique Rocha (-4.5) vs Sumit Nagal (+4.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Henrique Rocha: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Sumit Nagal: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Volume$125.08

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Maia: Completed Match: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Maia: Completed Match: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to

POLYMARKET

Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sumit Nagal” if Sumit Nagal wins the first set. It will resolve to “Henrique Rocha” if Henrique Rocha wins the first set. If

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sumit Nagal” if Sumit Nagal wins set 2. It will resolve to “Henrique Rocha” if Henrique Rocha wins set 2. If the match begin

POLYMARKET

Sumit Nagal vs. Henrique Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Sumit Nagal vs. Henrique Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwise

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Oct 19, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC

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43¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/90yjRF" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha"></iframe>

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Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

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Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Markets (16)

Maia: Completed Match: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Maia: Completed Match: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Set 1 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Set 1 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Set 2 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Set 2 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Sumit Nagal vs. Henrique Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Sumit Nagal vs. Henrique Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Nagal vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

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Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Maia: Completed Match: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Maia: Completed Match: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Set 1 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Set 1 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Set 2 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Set 2 Winner: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Sumit Nagal vs. Henrique Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Sumit Nagal vs. Henrique Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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