Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

Name: Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs
End: 2026-10-10T14:25:00.000Z

Total Volume

$120.85

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

Vol

$120.85

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $120.85

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $120.85

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

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Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs	Poly	83%
Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent - Game 1 Winner	Poly	75%
Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent - Game 2 Winner	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: CR (-1.5) vs Cresent (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	46%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$120.85

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 Third Place match between Cloud Rising and Cresent in the DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud Rising" if Cloud Rising win the match against Cresent. This market will resolve to "Cresent" if Cresent win the match against Cloud Rising. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 Third Place match between Cloud Rising and Cresent in the DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud Rising" if Cloud Rising win the match against Cresent.

This market will resolve to "Cresent" if Cresent win the match against Cloud Rising.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 Third Place match between Cloud Rising and Cresent in the DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud Rising" if Cloud Rising win Game 1 against Cresent.

This market will re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $121
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Cloud Rising: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [Cresent: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Cloud Rising: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Cresent: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $119
  DATA: [Cloud Rising: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [Cresent: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: CR (-1.5) vs Cresent (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Cloud Rising: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Cresent: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

Volume$120.85

Markets20

20 of 20

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 1. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Cloud Rising and Cresent each destro

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 1. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 1. This market will re

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Average Yes Price

53¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/9UVxM1" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs"></iframe>

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Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

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Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

Markets (20)

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

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Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

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Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

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