Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers a single Polymarket event, "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET" [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].

The source specifies the resolution data: the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream. It also states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with another Hyperliquid market should check whether that market uses the same data stream, time window, and comparison rule, since a different wording could resolve differently even for a similar title.

The listed end time is 2026-10-26T18:00:00.000Z [1]. The title gives the window as 1:45PM to 2:00PM ET on October 26, which matches the end of the range.

Reading the snapshot

The saved prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. The provider observed these at 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-25T19:41:06.055Z [1]. These are observation values from a saved record, not live or executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.

The sample covers one market from one event, and the record states that it is not a partial sample [1]. Because only Up and Down are listed, there is no omitted outcome to compare. The record also states that "All saved markets for these events are included. This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The fields do not include trader counts or volume, so this snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each side.

The close of the listed window is later than the retrieval time. The provider status is "active" [1]. Nothing in the evidence shows the contract's outcome.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the Up and Down prices sit where they do, and it contains no news or other context about Hyperliquid. The snapshot cannot show how prices changed after the observation time, and it cannot confirm whether the market is still trading at the time of reading. The records do not include the Chainlink TWAP values, so the resolution outcome cannot be assessed from this evidence. Any comparison with prices on other platforms should wait for matching contract wording and close times.

References

1. Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z.