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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?
Vol

K 298.13 contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

15

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is 4.86% or above at 99.5%.

Kalshi

  1. 4.86% or above99.5%
  2. 4.88% or above98.5%
  3. 4.9% or above97.5%
  4. 4.92% or above96%
  5. 4.94% or above94%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 298.13 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

15

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 20, 2026 If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiEconomics
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

K 3.8K contracts
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 80%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 77%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 74%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

K 9.4K contracts
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

K 1.1K contracts
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 99%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 98%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 97.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

K 329 contracts
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 99%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 97%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?

K 300 contracts
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 93%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 90%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 86.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

K 254 contracts
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 97.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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