Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bahia vs Flamengo

Total Volume

$316.88

Events

Markets

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Bahia vs Flamengo

Vol

$316.88

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $316.88

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $316.88

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Flamengo wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Flamengo wins	Kalshi	48%
Bahia wins	Kalshi	27%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$316.88

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

BAH vs FLA (Oct 18) If X wins the Bahia vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Bahia vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market c

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bahia vs Flamengo
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BAH vs FLA (Oct 18)

If X wins the Bahia vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Bahia vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market c

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Bahia vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia v"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $317
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Flamengo wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bahia wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $59
  DATA: [Yes: 26.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Bahia vs Flamengo

Volume$316.88

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Flamengo wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHISports

Flamengo wins

If Flamengo wins the Bahia vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Flame

KALSHI

Bahia wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.7¢No 73.3¢

KALSHISports

Bahia wins

If Bahia wins the Bahia vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Flamengo

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHIOther

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Bahia vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia v

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/9f6msU" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Bahia vs Flamengo"></iframe>

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Bahia vs Flamengo

Bahia vs Flamengo

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Flamengo wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Bahia vs Flamengo

Markets (3)

Flamengo wins

Flamengo wins

Bahia wins

Bahia wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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Flamengo wins

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Bahia vs Flamengo

Flamengo wins

Flamengo wins

Bahia wins

Bahia wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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