Name: Largest Company end of January?
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

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Largest Company end of January? | PredictPedia

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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Poly	93%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Poly	6%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Poly	0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Poly	0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Poly	0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Poly	0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Largest Company end of January?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.06M
* **Total Liquidity:** $573.9K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.55)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $1.03M
  DATA: [Yes: 93.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $994.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $812.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $884.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $721.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $1.03M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $578.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

15d 18h remaining

Jan 31, 2026 12:00 AM

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Average Yes Price

14¢

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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

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Events (1)

Largest Company end of January?

Markets (7)

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Largest Company end of January?

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

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