Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown?

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$451.67K

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What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown?

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What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(40)

Market	Platform	Price
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Transgender)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Steel)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sleepy Joe)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sherrod Brown)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Russia / Ukraine)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Palestine / Palestinian)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Kamala)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Iran (5+ times))	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Husted)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Healthcare)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Drill Baby Drill)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (China / Chinese)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Cheat / Cheater / Cheating)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Barack Hussein Obama)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Afford / Affordable / Affordability)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Acton)	Kalshi	100%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Dividend / Stimulus)	Kalshi	96%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Save America Act)	Kalshi	95%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Made in America / American Made)	Kalshi	71%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Supreme Court)	Kalshi	55%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (ICE)	Kalshi	51%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sanctuary)	Kalshi	42%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Hormuz)	Kalshi	38%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Blockade)	Kalshi	24%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Israel / Israeli)	Kalshi	20%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Data Center)	Kalshi	20%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (America First)	Kalshi	20%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Fraud (3+ times))	Kalshi	14%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Gulf of America)	Kalshi	13%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Trump Account)	Kalshi	12%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Lordstown)	Kalshi	11%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Ceasefire)	Kalshi	9%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Deport / Deported / Deportation)	Kalshi	9%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Fentanyl)	Kalshi	8%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)	Kalshi	8%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (TrumpRX)	Kalshi	6%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Peace in the Middle East)	Kalshi	3%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Event does not qualify)	Kalshi	1%
What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Crypto / Bitcoin)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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100%

Top Probability

$451.67K

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About This Event

Donald Trump - Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 If Donald Trump says X / Y as part of Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Donald Trump - Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026

If Donald Trump says X / Y as part of Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If 
 Donald Trump says Vivek / Ramaswamy as part of Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026
, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
Video of the Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 using the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $451.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $11.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Trump Account)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $10.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (TrumpRX)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Transgender)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $19.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Supreme Court)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Steel)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $12.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sleepy Joe)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $8.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sherrod Brown)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Save America Act)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $15.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sanctuary)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $8.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Russia / Ukraine)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Peace in the Middle East)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $16.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Palestine / Palestinian)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $13.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Event does not qualify)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Made in America / American Made)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Lordstown)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Kamala)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Israel / Israeli)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $9.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Iran (5+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $18.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (ICE)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Husted)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $12.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Hormuz)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Healthcare)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $18.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Gulf of America)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $8.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Fraud (3+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $11.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Fentanyl)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $13.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Drill Baby Drill)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $11.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Dividend / Stimulus)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Deport / Deported / Deportation)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $15.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Data Center)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $15.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Crypto / Bitcoin)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $69.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (China / Chinese)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Cheat / Cheater / Cheating)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Ceasefire)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $10.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Blockade)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Barack Hussein Obama)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $12.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (America First)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $18.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Afford / Affordable / Affordability)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Acton)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown?

Volume$451.67K

Markets40

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KALSHI

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)

If Donald Trump says Vivek / Ramaswamy as part of Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 using the

KALSHI

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Transgender)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Transgender)

If Donald Trump says Transgender as part of Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 using the live b

KALSHI

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Steel)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Steel)

If Donald Trump says Steel as part of Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 using the live broadca

KALSHI

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sleepy Joe)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sleepy Joe)

If Donald Trump says Sleepy Joe as part of Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 using the live br

KALSHI

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sherrod Brown)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sherrod Brown)

If Donald Trump says Sherrod Brown as part of Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 using the live

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What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)

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What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown?

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What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Transgender)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Transgender)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Steel)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Steel)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sleepy Joe)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sleepy Joe)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sherrod Brown)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sherrod Brown)

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What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)

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What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown?

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Vivek / Ramaswamy)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Transgender)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Transgender)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Steel)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Steel)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sleepy Joe)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sleepy Joe)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sherrod Brown)

What will Trump say during his rally in Youngstown? (Sherrod Brown)

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