Ribeiro vs Miguel
K 214.81 contracts
1
2
Ribeiro vs Miguel
K 214.81 contracts
1
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Eduardo Ribeiro at 62.5%.
Kalshi
- Eduardo Ribeiro62.5%
- Luis Felipe Miguel37%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 214.81 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Ribeiro vs Miguel (Nov 2) If X wins the Ribeiro vs Miguel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Costa do Sauipe Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Ribeiro vs Miguel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Costa do Sauipe Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T12:00:05.871Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event covers the Ribeiro vs Miguel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Costa do Sauipe Qualification Final [1]. The source states that if X wins "after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. If the match does not occur because of "a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts," the market resolves "to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1]. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market "will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks" [1]. The source also says the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1].
The saved records list two markets from this event: "Eduardo Ribeiro wins" and "Luis Felipe Miguel wins" [1]. Each is a Yes/No contract, so the two markets describe opposite results for the same match.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-02T12:00:05.871Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-02T12:28:52.358Z [1]. The prices therefore describe that earlier observation, not live conditions at the time you read this.
At the observation time, the Yes price was 0.625 for Ribeiro and 0.37 for Miguel [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The records do not explain why the prices were set at those levels, and they do not show how many traders are involved or how much liquidity sits behind them.
The listed end date for both markets is 2026-11-16T19:10:00.000Z [1]. However, the same source notes that the listed end time is "not supplied," and the contract closes after a winner is declared, so this date should not be read as the expected match time or the resolution date.
What remains uncertain
The coverage record shows 2 of 2 markets included for this event, with no partial sample flag [1]. The sample warning still applies: the saved markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The records contain no data on other platforms, so this snapshot cannot be compared with other contracts on the same match.
The source does not report whether the match has started, been postponed, or been completed. Prices can change after the observation time.
References
- Kalshi: Ribeiro vs Miguel. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T12:00:05.871Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a prediction market on a professional tennis match, Ribeiro vs Miguel, listed on Kalshi. The event is part of the 2026 ATP Challenger Costa do Sauipe Qualification Final [1]. The contract is written around a single question: whether a named player wins the match. The saved event contains two markets, one for each player [1]. The contract's resolution rule is the central feature. If the named player wins the match after a ball has been played, the market resolves to Yes [1]. If the match does not take place before it starts, whether because of an injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price under the platform's rules [1]. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1]. The market closes and expires once a winner is declared [1]. The saved markets were observed at 12:00 UTC on 2 November 2026, with source retrieval shortly after. At that observation, the Yes price for the market titled "Eduardo Ribeiro wins" was 0.625, and the Yes price for "Luis Felipe Miguel wins" was 0.37 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one moment, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either result. The listed end date for both markets is 16 November 2026 at 19:10 UTC, but the contract ties closing to the match result rather than to that date, so the date should not be read as a scheduled finish.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single binary result: whether the named player wins this specific tennis match after play has begun [1]. Because the two markets are tied to opposite outcomes of the same match, their prices are both reactions to the same event. The rules also show how the market handles uncertainty about whether the match happens at all, through the cancellation and postponement terms [1]. Readers should keep in mind that the saved prices are a snapshot and that trading volume and the number of participants are not shown in the sample.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a Yes resolution for these markets?
A market resolves to Yes if the named player wins the match after a ball has been played [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled or postponed?
If the match is cancelled before it starts, the market resolves to a fair price under the platform's rules [1]. If it is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1].
Is the player Ribeiro the Brazilian model Laís Ribeiro?
The supplied sources do not connect the match to that person. The Wikipedia entry describes Laís Ribeiro as a Brazilian model known for her work as a Victoria's Secret Angel [2], and nothing in the match rules links her to this tennis contract [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
