Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone

Name: St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone
End: 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$466.61K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone

Vol

$466.61K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $466.61K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $466.61K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Game Spread: Harold Mayot (-1.5) vs Murphy Cassone (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Game Spread: Harold Mayot (-1.5) vs Murphy Cassone (+1.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$466.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Murphy Cassone in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Murphy Cassone. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Harold Mayot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the schedu

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Murphy Cassone in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Murphy Cassone.

This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Harold Mayot.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the schedu

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Harold Mayot" if Harold Mayot wins 1.5 or more total games than Murphy Cassone in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Murphy Cassone".
Games won will be counted across all sets played in the ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $123
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game Spread: Harold Mayot (-1.5) vs Murphy Cassone (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $123
  DATA: [Harold Mayot: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Murphy Cassone: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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