Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Surrey mayoral election winner?

Total Volume

$9.31K

Events

Markets

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Surrey mayoral election winner?

Vol

$9.31K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.31K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.31K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Kalshi	85%
Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Kalshi	13%
Will Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Mike Starchuk win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$9.31K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

October 17, 2026 If X wins the 2026 Surrey mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Surrey mayoral election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 17, 2026

If X wins the 2026 Surrey mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Troy Van Vliet wins the 2026 Surrey mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winn"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mike Starchuk win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2027): Vol $579
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2027): Vol $399
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2027): Vol $533
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Surrey mayoral election winner?

Volume$9.31K

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

If Brenda Locke wins the 2026 Surrey mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner

KALSHI

Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

If Linda Annis wins the 2026 Surrey mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winner

KALSHI

Will Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

If Honveer Singh Randhawa wins the 2026 Surrey mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the elect

KALSHI

Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

If Doug McCallum wins the 2026 Surrey mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winne

KALSHI

Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

If Troy Van Vliet wins the 2026 Surrey mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the election winn

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18¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/9kd_xM" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Surrey mayoral election winner?"></iframe>

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Surrey mayoral election winner?

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Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Surrey mayoral election winner?

Markets (6)

Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Surrey mayoral election winner?

Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

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