Name: Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of January?
End: 2026-01-30T21:00:00.000Z

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Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of January? | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $95.36K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $95.36K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of January?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of January?	Poly	100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of January?	Poly	99%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of January?	Poly	99%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of January?	Poly	95%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of January?	Poly	87%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?	Poly	62%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?	Poly	39%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of January?	Poly	11%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of January?	Poly	3%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of January?	Poly	1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of January?	Poly	1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of January?	Poly	1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of January?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

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100%

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Volume

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt int

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of January?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 30, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt int

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule)"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $95.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $109.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.87)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $7.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $10.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $18.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $15.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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