Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Bitcoin hashprice: week of October 5?

Name: Bitcoin hashprice: week of October 5?
End: 2026-10-12T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$0.00

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Bitcoin hashprice: week of October 5?

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$0.00

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Bitcoin hashprice be less than $35 for the week of October 5?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bitcoin hashprice be less than $35 for the week of October 5?	Poly	50%
Will Bitcoin hashprice be greater than $50 for the week of October 5?	Poly	50%
Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $35 and $40 for the week of October 5?	Poly	49%
Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $45 and $50 for the week of October 5?	Poly	49%
Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $40 and $45 for the week of October 5?	Poly	48%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value displayed for the specified week (the weekly datapoint beginning Monday, 12:00 AM UTC). If the displayed value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The Bitcoin Hashprice Index value is the US dollar hashprice per petahash per second per day (USD per PH/s per day). To see the value, mouse over the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bitcoin hashprice: week of October 5?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 12, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value displayed for the specified week (the weekly datapoint beginning Monday, 12:00 AM UTC).

If the displayed value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".

The Bitcoin Hashprice Index value is the US dollar hashprice per petahash per second per day (USD per PH/s per day). To see the value, mouse over the 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value displayed for the specified week (the weekly datapoint beginning Monday, 12:00 AM UTC).

If the displayed value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Exactly o"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $29
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bitcoin hashprice be less than $35 for the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $35 and $40 for the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $40 and $45 for the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $45 and $50 for the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Bitcoin hashprice be greater than $50 for the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto