DOW hits 50k by...? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

DOW hits 50k by...?

Name: DOW hits 50k by...?
End: 2026-02-27T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$18.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

DOW hits 50k by...?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $18.47K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $18.47K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

DOW hits 50k by February 27, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
DOW hits 50k by February 27, 2026?	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$18.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between this market’s creation and market close on the final day of trading prior to or on the listed date, any 1-minute candle for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above 50,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. P

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** DOW hits 50k by...?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 27, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between this market’s creation and market close on the final day of trading prior to or on the listed date, any 1-minute candle for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above 50,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

P

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between this market’s creation and market close on the final day of trading prior to or on the listed date, any 1-minute candle for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above 50,000. Otherwise, this market w"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $228
* **Total Liquidity:** $71
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.19)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. DOW hits 50k by February 27, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 27, 2026): Vol $228
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

4d 15h remaining

Feb 27, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

50¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/9xV9nw" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="DOW hits 50k by...?"></iframe>

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DOW hits 50k by...?

DOW hits 50k by...?

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DOW hits 50k by February 27, 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

DOW hits 50k by...?

Markets (1)

DOW hits 50k by February 27, 2026?

DOW hits 50k by February 27, 2026?

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DOW hits 50k by...?

DOW hits 50k by February 27, 2026?

DOW hits 50k by February 27, 2026?

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