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GroupKALSHI

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT?

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
Vol

K 174.5 contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

400

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is 28,770 or above at 94%.

Kalshi

  1. 28,770 or above94%
  2. 28,550 or above94%
  3. 28,830 or above93%
  4. 28,850 or above92.5%
  5. 28,840 or above92.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 174.5 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

400

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Oct 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 20, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 20, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T00:00:06.267Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The event asks whether the Nasdaq-100 index value on October 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT will be above a stated threshold. The rules say that if the index value at that time is above X, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each market in the sample uses a different threshold, such as 28669.99 or 28959.99 [1].

The rules also say the market will close on October 20, 2026, and will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data or one week after October 20, 2026 [1]. The evidence does not supply a listed end time, but each market's end date field reads 2026-10-27T22:00:00.000Z [1]. Readers should check the full rulebook, because the expiry language and the listed end date point to different timing references.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-20T00:00:06.267Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-20T00:32:35.499Z [1]. These figures describe that moment only. They are not live quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities.

The sample covers 12 of 400 markets in this Kalshi event [1]. Markets were selected by Yes price, highest first, so the included markets are the top of that ordering [1]. Nothing can be concluded about the 388 omitted markets from this sample, and the sample should not be treated as the full field.

Among the included markets, Yes prices run from 0.90 to 0.94 [1]. The thresholds do not line up neatly with prices. For example, 28669.99 shows 0.94 and 28649.99 shows 0.93, while 28799.99 and 28699.99 both show 0.90 [1]. Because each market is a separate contract with its own threshold, these prices should not be averaged or read as one probability distribution. Volume is not included in this summary, and it would not indicate liquidity or the number of traders in any case.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it does not show the index level at the observation time. It also does not include a listed end time, the full set of omitted markets, or any resolution outcome. The status shown is active at the time of retrieval [1], so readers should not assume the status or prices remain unchanged.

References

  1. Kalshi: Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT?. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T00:00:06.267Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Overview

This is a Kalshi event titled "Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT?" [1]. It belongs to the Financials category and asks a yes or no question about the level of the Nasdaq-100 index at one specific time. The contract rules state that if the Nasdaq 100 index value on Oct 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above a stated level X, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each market in the event uses a different threshold, so one event can contain several separate questions about where the index will stand at that moment. The rules also set the timing terms. The market closes on October 20, 2026, and it expires at the sooner of the first release of the data or one week after October 20, 2026 [1]. The listed end time for the event was not supplied. A date in the contract rules describes how the contract works. It is not an announcement of a scheduled event, and it does not indicate what the index will do. The available record is a snapshot. The provider observation was recorded at 00:00:06 UTC on October 20, 2026, and the source was retrieved at 00:32:35 UTC the same day [1]. The 3pm EDT measurement time falls later that day, so this snapshot was captured before the measurement time. The event status was recorded as active at retrieval [1]. The prices shown in this article are not current quotes and are not verified probabilities. They describe the saved snapshot only. Because the event has several thresholds, readers should read each market title separately. The title states the exact level for that market, and the Yes or No outcome depends only on whether the index value at the measurement time is above that level [1].

Why It Matters

The contract measures the value of the Nasdaq-100 index at 3pm EDT on October 20, 2026, and asks whether that value will be above a specified level [1]. For a reader, the main point is that the outcome depends on a single observation time rather than on the index over the whole day. The rules also say that the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for index markets under the Kalshi Rulebook, so the rules themselves should be checked for how the index value is determined [1]. A market price in this context is a snapshot of trading interest at one moment, not a guaranteed value or a verified forecast.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-20 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What must happen for a market in this event to resolve Yes?

According to the rules, the market resolves to Yes if the Nasdaq 100 index value on Oct 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above the level stated in that market's title [1].

When does the contract close and expire?

The market closes on October 20, 2026. It expires at the sooner of the first release of the data or one week after October 20, 2026 [1]. No listed end time was supplied for the event.

Does a price in this event show the chance that the index will be above a level?

The price is a snapshot from a provider record and is not a verified probability or an executable quote. The rules describe only how the contract resolves [1].

Why does the event contain several markets?

Each market in the event is titled with a different threshold level, such as being above a specific index value at the same 3pm EDT time [1]. Each one is a separate yes or no question.

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 20, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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