Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

Name: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti
End: 2026-10-18T08:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$952.38

Events

Markets

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

Vol

$952.38

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $952.38

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $952.38

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Gabriele Pennaforti (-1.5) vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (+1.5)	Poly	50%
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$952.38

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei and Gabriele Pennaforti in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei' if Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei advances against Gabriele Pennaforti. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Pennaforti' if Gabriele Pennaforti advances against Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), e

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei and Gabriele Pennaforti in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei' if Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei advances against Gabriele Pennaforti.

This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Pennaforti' if Gabriele Pennaforti advances against Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), e

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei and Gabriele Pennaforti in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei' if Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei advanc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $952
* **Total Liquidity:** $6
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 151.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $952
  DATA: [Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei: 49.9% (0.0%)] | [Gabriele Pennaforti: 50.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Gabriele Pennaforti: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Gabriele Pennaforti (-1.5) vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Gabriele Pennaforti: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

Volume$952.38

Markets3

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POLYMARKET

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei and Gabriele Pennaforti in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei" if Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei wins by 2 or more s

Health Score10/100

Leading Outcome50.0%

Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Gabriele Pennaforti (-1.5) vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Gabriele Pennaforti (-1.5) vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Pennaforti and Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gabriele Pennaforti" if Gabriele Pennaforti wins by 2 or more sets than Daniel

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Oct 18, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/A9B3lM" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti"></iframe>

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

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Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

Markets (3)

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Gabriele Pennaforti (-1.5) vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Gabriele Pennaforti (-1.5) vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (+1.5)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Gabriele Pennaforti

Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (-1.5) vs Gabriele Pennaforti (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Gabriele Pennaforti (-1.5) vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Gabriele Pennaforti (-1.5) vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (+1.5)

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