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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Ted Cruz # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Name: Ted Cruz # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?
End: 2026-05-05T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$11.01K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Ted Cruz # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Vol

$11.01K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.01K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.01K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	66%
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	31%
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	10%
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$11.01K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolutio

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ted Cruz # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 5, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolutio

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, repli"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.09)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $158
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $625
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $378
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $165
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $503
  DATA: [Yes: 5.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $108
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $84
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $63
  DATA: [Yes: 9.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.1% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $46
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics