Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

Name: Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
End: 2026-10-14T14:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$214.31

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

Vol

$214.31

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $214.31

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $214.31

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	40%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Poly	36%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Poly	32%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A	Poly	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$214.31

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against 9z. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a s

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Aurora Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against 9z.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a s

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $214
* **Total Liquidity:** $29.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [9z: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [Aurora Gaming: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [9z: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [Aurora Gaming: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $129
  DATA: [9z: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [Aurora Gaming: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $86
  DATA: [Over: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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