Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez

Total Volume

$0.00

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Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez

Vol

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

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2 markets tracked

Cristian Perez wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Cristian Perez wins	Kalshi	72%
Kyle Nelson wins	Kalshi	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

72%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Nelson vs Perez If X wins the Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Nelson vs Perez

If X wins the Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Cristian Perez wins the Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 ho"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Cristian Perez wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Kyle Nelson wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez

Volume$0.00

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

Cristian Perez wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.5¢No 28.5¢

KALSHISports

Cristian Perez wins

If Cristian Perez wins the Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 ho

KALSHI

Kyle Nelson wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

KALSHISports

Kyle Nelson wins

If Kyle Nelson wins the Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/AFhhuf" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez"></iframe>

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Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez

Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez

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Cristian Perez wins

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Events (1)

Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez

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Cristian Perez wins

Cristian Perez wins

Kyle Nelson wins

Kyle Nelson wins

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Cristian Perez wins

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Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez

Cristian Perez wins

Cristian Perez wins

Kyle Nelson wins

Kyle Nelson wins

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