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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Name: Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$437.29K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Vol

$437.29K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $437.29K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $437.29K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Poly	77%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Poly	27%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$437.29K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $63.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.9K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.98)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $61.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics