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What will the witnesses say during House Supreme Court budget hearing?

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What will the witnesses say during House Supreme Court budget hearing?

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18 markets tracked

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)

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Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)	Kalshi	89%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Constitution / Constitutional)	Kalshi	86%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Modern / Modernize / Modernized / Modernization)	Kalshi	65%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Camera)	Kalshi	57%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Marshals)	Kalshi	57%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Dox / Doxed / Doxing)	Kalshi	49%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Kavanaugh)	Kalshi	37%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)	Kalshi	37%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Political Violence)	Kalshi	36%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Birthright)	Kalshi	29%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Social Media)	Kalshi	24%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Trump)	Kalshi	21%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Secret Service)	Kalshi	19%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Democrat)	Kalshi	16%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Abortion)	Kalshi	16%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Tariff)	Kalshi	15%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Redistricting)	Kalshi	14%
What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Event does not qualify)	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

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89%

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any participating witness - House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States If any participating witness says X as part of House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will the witnesses say during House Supreme Court budget hearing?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** any participating witness - House Committee on Appropriations -  Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States

If any participating witness says X as part of House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If 
 any participating witness says Trump as part of House Committee on Appropriations -  Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States
, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the House Committee on Appropriations -  Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States will"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Trump)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Tariff)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Social Media)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Secret Service)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Redistricting)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Political Violence)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Event does not qualify)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Modern / Modernize / Modernized / Modernization)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Marshals)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Kavanaugh)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Dox / Doxed / Doxing)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Democrat)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Constitution / Constitutional)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Camera)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Birthright)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Abortion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will the witnesses say during House Supreme Court budget hearing?

Volume$0.00

Markets18

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KALSHI

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)

If any participating witness says Security / Cybersecurity as part of House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the

KALSHI

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Constitution / Constitutional)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Constitution / Constitutional)

If any participating witness says Constitution / Constitutional as part of House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court o

KALSHI

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Modern / Modernize / Modernized / Modernization)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Modern / Modernize / Modernized / Modernization)

If any participating witness says Modern / Modernize / Modernized / Modernization as part of House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing

KALSHI

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Camera)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Camera)

If any participating witness says Camera as part of House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States wil

KALSHI

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Marshals)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Marshals)

If any participating witness says Marshals as part of House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States w

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37¢

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What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)

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Events (1)

What will the witnesses say during House Supreme Court budget hearing?

Markets (18)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Constitution / Constitutional)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Constitution / Constitutional)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Modern / Modernize / Modernized / Modernization)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Modern / Modernize / Modernized / Modernization)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Camera)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Camera)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Marshals)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Marshals)

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What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)

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What will the witnesses say during House Supreme Court budget hearing?

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Security / Cybersecurity)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Constitution / Constitutional)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Constitution / Constitutional)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Modern / Modernize / Modernized / Modernization)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Modern / Modernize / Modernized / Modernization)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Camera)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Camera)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Marshals)

What will any participating witness say during House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States? (Marshals)

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