Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US airline fares CPI for September

Total Volume

$1.31K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US airline fares CPI for September

Vol

$1.31K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.31K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.31K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?	Kalshi	81%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 330?	Kalshi	77%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 328?	Kalshi	66%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 320?	Kalshi	53%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 336?	Kalshi	50%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 334?	Kalshi	50%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 332?	Kalshi	50%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 326?	Kalshi	50%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 324?	Kalshi	50%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 322?	Kalshi	50%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 344?	Kalshi	30%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 342?	Kalshi	30%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 338?	Kalshi	25%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 340?	Kalshi	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$1.31K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

September 2026 If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US airline fares CPI for September
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** September 2026

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 344, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, wh"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 344?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 342?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 340?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 338?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 336?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 334?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 332?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 330?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 328?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 326?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 324?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 322?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $261
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 320?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US airline fares CPI for September

Volume$1.31K

Markets14

14 of 14

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 318, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, wh

KALSHI

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 330?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 330?

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 330, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, wh

KALSHI

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 328?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 328?

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 328, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, wh

KALSHI

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 320?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 320?

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 320, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, wh

KALSHI

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 336?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 336?

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 336, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, wh

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49¢

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US airline fares CPI for September

US airline fares CPI for September

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Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)

US airline fares CPI for September

Markets (14)

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 330?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 330?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 328?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 328?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 320?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 320?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 336?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 336?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US airline fares CPI for September

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 318?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 330?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 330?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 328?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 328?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 320?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 320?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 336?

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 336?

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