Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout

Total Volume

$10.88K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout

Vol

$10.88K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $10.88K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.88K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	97%
Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	97%
Will at least 3,450,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	97%
Will at least 3,300,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	97%
Will at least 3,600,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	96%
Will at least 3,750,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	92%
Will at least 3,900,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	81%
Will at least 4,050,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	72%
Will at least 4,125,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	57%
Will at least 4,200,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	38%
Will at least 4,350,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	19%
Will at least 4,500,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	10%
Will at least 4,650,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	8%
Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	7%
Will at least 4,950,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$10.88K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 25, 2026 If at least X valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots in Serbia’s parliamentary election, equal to RIK’s voters-who-voted or ballots-in-the-box total. Electoral-roll signatures, registered voters, and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract’s Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Sourc

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 25, 2026

If at least X valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots in Serbia’s parliamentary election, equal to RIK’s voters-who-voted or ballots-in-the-box total. Electoral-roll signatures, registered voters, and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract’s Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Sourc

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If at least 4,125,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots in Serbia’s parliamentary election, equal to RIK’s voters-who-voted or ballots-in-the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will at least 4,125,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will at least 4,950,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will at least 4,650,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will at least 4,500,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will at least 4,350,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will at least 4,200,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will at least 4,050,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will at least 3,900,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will at least 3,750,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $751
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will at least 3,600,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will at least 3,450,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will at least 3,300,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout

Volume$10.88K

Markets15

15 of 15

Sort:

KALSHI

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

If at least 3,150,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots in Serbia’s parliamentary election, equal to RIK’s voters-who-voted or ballots-in-the

KALSHI

Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

If at least 3,000,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots in Serbia’s parliamentary election, equal to RIK’s voters-who-voted or ballots-in-the

KALSHI

Will at least 3,450,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 3,450,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

If at least 3,450,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots in Serbia’s parliamentary election, equal to RIK’s voters-who-voted or ballots-in-the

KALSHI

Will at least 3,300,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 3,300,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

If at least 3,300,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots in Serbia’s parliamentary election, equal to RIK’s voters-who-voted or ballots-in-the

KALSHI

Will at least 3,600,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 3,600,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

If at least 3,600,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots in Serbia’s parliamentary election, equal to RIK’s voters-who-voted or ballots-in-the

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

58¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ANdrz5" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout

Markets (15)

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,450,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,450,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,300,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,300,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,600,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,600,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,450,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,450,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,300,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,300,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,600,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Will at least 3,600,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget