Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Game Spread

Total Volume

$1.05K

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Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Game Spread

Vol

$1.05K

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Polymarket

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markets · $1.05K

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0.0%avg

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.05K

100%

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3 markets tracked

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Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?	Kalshi	45%
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win at least 1.5 more games than Hubert Hurkacz?	Kalshi	41%
Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 4.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?	Kalshi	18%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

45%

Top Probability

$1.05K

Volume

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About This Event

Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Oct 13) If the game differential in favor of Hubert Hurkacz across the full match is above X games in the Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being play

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Game Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Oct 13)

If the game differential in favor of Hubert Hurkacz across the full match is above X games in the Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being play

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the game differential in favor of Hubert Hurkacz across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Huber"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 4.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win at least 1.5 more games than Hubert Hurkacz?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Game Spread

Volume$1.05K

Markets3

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KALSHI

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

If the game differential in favor of Hubert Hurkacz across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Huber

KALSHI

Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win at least 1.5 more games than Hubert Hurkacz?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win at least 1.5 more games than Hubert Hurkacz?

If the game differential in favor of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers

KALSHI

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 4.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 4.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

If the game differential in favor of Hubert Hurkacz across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Huber

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34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/AT01cC" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Game Spread"></iframe>

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Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Game Spread

Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Game Spread

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Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

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Events (1)

Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Game Spread

Markets (3)

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win at least 1.5 more games than Hubert Hurkacz?

Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win at least 1.5 more games than Hubert Hurkacz?

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 4.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 4.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

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Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

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Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Game Spread

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 1.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win at least 1.5 more games than Hubert Hurkacz?

Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win at least 1.5 more games than Hubert Hurkacz?

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 4.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

Will Hubert Hurkacz win at least 4.5 more games than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

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