Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Prešov mayoral election winner?

Total Volume

$2.81K

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Prešov mayoral election winner?

Vol

$2.81K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.81K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.81K

100%

Kalshi leads

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6 markets tracked

Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	Kalshi	74%
Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	Kalshi	19%
Will Artúr Benes win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Svetlana Pavlovičová win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Martin Eštočák win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$2.81K

Volume

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About This Event

October 24, 2026 If X wins the 2026 Prešov mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Prešov mayoral election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 24, 2026

If X wins the 2026 Prešov mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Svetlana Pavlovičová wins the 2026 Prešov mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Svetlana Pavlovičová win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Martin Eštočák win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $616
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Artúr Benes win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Prešov mayoral election winner?

Volume$2.81K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

If František Oľha wins the 2026 Prešov mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

If Rastislav Mochnacký wins the 2026 Prešov mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Artúr Benes win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Artúr Benes win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

If Artúr Benes wins the 2026 Prešov mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

If Pavel Hagyari wins the 2026 Prešov mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Svetlana Pavlovičová win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Svetlana Pavlovičová win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

If Svetlana Pavlovičová wins the 2026 Prešov mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ATk4fu" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Prešov mayoral election winner?"></iframe>

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Prešov mayoral election winner?

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Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Prešov mayoral election winner?

Markets (6)

Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Artúr Benes win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Artúr Benes win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Svetlana Pavlovičová win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Svetlana Pavlovičová win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Prešov mayoral election winner?

Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Artúr Benes win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Artúr Benes win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Svetlana Pavlovičová win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Will Svetlana Pavlovičová win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

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